In my opinion, China will one day shift from weak, ineffective attempts to increase fertility, to harsh, ineffective policies. I don’t think their way of running things is conducive to the gentle but nuanced encouragement that is required.

For example:

In Chongqing, one of China’s biggest cities, engaged couples will soon be eligible for a government-sponsored group wedding, according to a three-year “wedding-customs reform” pilot announced last week. The catch is that extravagances — and certain ancient marriage traditions — will be officially frowned upon.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-06/why-xi-wants-cheaper-weddings-for-china

It kinda makes sense because the cost of weddings is seen to be a hindrance, but you would expect that if people really wanted marriage and kids, they would find a way.

Another initiative is committees who negotiate bride prices lower…